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Contrarian Mortgage Plays: IndyMac Bancorp (Value Investor Insight, June 25th): “After compounding earnings at 20% per year over 15 years, IndyMac Bancorp(IMB) is now considered to be just another mortgage lender with potential credit problems. The stock trades at less than 10x forward earnings and 8x trailing earnings and has a nearly 6% dividend yield If we assume ROE turns negative this year and then rebounds over the next five years to only 12%, we expect the share price to grow around 15% per year. If we assume flattish ROE this year and the company getting back to just a 15% level, we’d expect 20% annual share price increases.”.

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